Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-08-07
↑ $4,350
50%
↑ $4,300
51%
↑ 4,250 美元
50%
↑ 4,200美元
50%
↑ $4,150
50%
↑ $4,100
69%
↑ $4,050
74%
↓ 4,000美元
74%
↓ $3,950
59%
↓ $3,900
50%
↓ $3,850
50%
↓ $3,800
50%
↓ 3,750美元
50%
↓ $3,700
50%
$0.00 交易量
↑ $4,350
$0 交易量
50%
↑ $4,300
$0 交易量
51%
↑ 4,250 美元
$0 交易量
50%
↑ 4,200美元
$0 交易量
50%
↑ $4,150
$0 交易量
50%
↑ $4,100
$0 交易量
69%
↑ $4,050
$0 交易量
74%
↓ 4,000美元
$0 交易量
74%
↓ $3,950
$0 交易量
59%
↓ $3,900
$0 交易量
50%
↓ $3,850
$0 交易量
50%
↓ $3,800
$0 交易量
50%
↓ 3,750美元
$0 交易量
50%
↓ $3,700
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 3 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 6:02 PM ETRecent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve communications and firm real yields have weighed on gold (XAU/USD) near $4,100–$4,120, with trader positioning reflecting reduced odds of near-term rate cuts as the dollar strengthens and ETF outflows accelerate. Easing Middle East tensions have further tempered safe-haven demand, while persistent central bank purchases provide a structural floor. Key early-August catalysts include the August 3 ISM PMI, August 7 employment report, and subsequent inflation prints that could shift rate expectations and volatility. Market-implied probabilities embedded in Polymarket reflect these macro crosscurrents, with traders closely monitoring Treasury yields and USD strength for directional clues.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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