Ukraine's constitutional framework prohibits presidential elections during martial law, which remains in effect through at least August 2, 2026, following its 19th extension approved by parliament and signed by President Zelenskyy in late April. This wartime measure, renewed in 90-day increments since February 2022, has postponed the vote originally due in 2024 and keeps the incumbent in office without a scheduled ballot before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for "No" reflects these legal and procedural barriers, reinforced by recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's public statements prioritizing security guarantees before any vote. A sudden ceasefire or early lifting of martial law could theoretically open a narrow path to elections, though both remain improbable within the tight remaining timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$247,314 交易量
$247,314 交易量
是
$247,314 交易量
$247,314 交易量
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's constitutional framework prohibits presidential elections during martial law, which remains in effect through at least August 2, 2026, following its 19th extension approved by parliament and signed by President Zelenskyy in late April. This wartime measure, renewed in 90-day increments since February 2022, has postponed the vote originally due in 2024 and keeps the incumbent in office without a scheduled ballot before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for "No" reflects these legal and procedural barriers, reinforced by recent parliamentary actions and Zelenskyy's public statements prioritizing security guarantees before any vote. A sudden ceasefire or early lifting of martial law could theoretically open a narrow path to elections, though both remain improbable within the tight remaining timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions