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美聯儲主席 預測與賠率

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誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$64M 交易量

$5M today

$10M Liq.

113

Ends 6 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在…前擔任聯儲局主席?

100%

6月30日

$5M 交易量

$233K today

$292K Liq.

102

Ends 大約 3 小時內

在Kevin Warsh被確認之前會發生什麼?

在Kevin Warsh被確認之前會發生什麼?

<1%

聯準會降息

$736K 交易量

$132K today

$169K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

有多少參議員會投票支持特朗普的聯準會主席提名人?

有多少參議員會投票支持特朗普的聯準會主席提名人?

97%

54

$192K 交易量

$126K today

$152K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

凱文·沃什被……確認擔任聯儲局主席?

凱文·沃什被……確認擔任聯儲局主席?

100%

5月15日

$1M 交易量

$52.4K today

$233K Liq.

14

Ends 1 天內

誰將投票確認凱文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )為聯儲局主席?

誰將投票確認凱文·沃什( Kevin Warsh )為聯儲局主席?

100%

莉莎·穆爾科斯基

$149K 交易量

$231K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Kevin Warsh美聯儲主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

Kevin Warsh美聯儲主席提名在5月15日前撤回?

<1%

$306K 交易量

$119K Liq.

1

Ends 1 天內

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

57%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$123K Liq.

7

Ends 7 個月內

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

97%

May 15–22

$96.8K 交易量

$44.6K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$79.2K 交易量

$31.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

每個聯儲局主席的預測聯儲局利率

每個聯儲局主席的預測聯儲局利率

87%

Kevin Warsh及利率高於2.5%

$114K 交易量

$61.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

3%

$7.1K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

5%

June 30

$4.9K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

43%

12月31日

$317K 交易量

$39.2K Liq.

14

Ends 8 個月內

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

4%

$3.5K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

特朗普會試圖在...前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局成員嗎?

特朗普會試圖在...前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局成員嗎?

18%

12月31日

$15.1K 交易量

$7.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?

1%

$90.0K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 美聯儲主席.

Polymarket currently hosts 17 active markets for 美聯儲主席 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $79.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “特朗普會試圖在他離開之前解僱鮑威爾擔任聯儲局主席嗎?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “誰將被確認為聯儲局主席?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 美聯儲主席 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.