Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability of no critical Discord incident—such as a major data breach affecting millions, widespread platform hack, or prolonged outage—by May 31, driven by Discord's swift resolution of recent disruptions. A May 8 API error incident causing temporary login and messaging failures was mitigated within hours, per the official status page showing no issues since May 10. An earlier third-party vendor compromise exposed data for about 70,000 users, including IDs and IPs, but Discord contained it without core system impact. This track record of rapid response bolsters confidence amid a stable last week. Realistic challenges include a zero-day vulnerability exploit, ransomware attack, or escalated supply chain breach surfacing before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,265 交易量
$17,265 交易量
2026-05-31
$17,265 交易量
$17,265 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability of no critical Discord incident—such as a major data breach affecting millions, widespread platform hack, or prolonged outage—by May 31, driven by Discord's swift resolution of recent disruptions. A May 8 API error incident causing temporary login and messaging failures was mitigated within hours, per the official status page showing no issues since May 10. An earlier third-party vendor compromise exposed data for about 70,000 users, including IDs and IPs, but Discord contained it without core system impact. This track record of rapid response bolsters confidence amid a stable last week. Realistic challenges include a zero-day vulnerability exploit, ransomware attack, or escalated supply chain breach surfacing before month-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$17,265结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability of no critical Discord incident—such as a major data breach affecting millions, widespread platform hack, or prolonged outage—by May 31, driven by Discord's swift resolution of recent disruptions. A May 8 API error incident causing temporary login and messaging failures was mitigated within hours, per the official status page showing no issues since May 10. An earlier third-party vendor compromise exposed data for about 70,000 users, including IDs and IPs, but Discord contained it without core system impact. This track record of rapid response bolsters confidence amid a stable last week. Realistic challenges include a zero-day vulnerability exploit, ransomware attack, or escalated supply chain breach surfacing before month-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
交易量
$17,265结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 90.5% implied probability of no critical Discord incident—such as a major data breach affecting millions, widespread platform hack, or prolonged outage—by May 31, driven by Discord's swift resolution of recent disruptions. A May 8 API error incident causing temporary login and messaging failures was mitigated within hours, per the official status page showing no issues since May 10. An earlier third-party vendor compromise exposed data for about 70,000 users, including IDs and IPs, but Discord contained it without core system impact. This track record of rapid response bolsters confidence amid a stable last week. Realistic challenges include a zero-day vulnerability exploit, ransomware attack, or escalated supply chain breach surfacing before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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