D4vd, the indie pop artist whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder and related charges in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose remains were found in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing established probable cause for trial based on DNA evidence, purchase records, and witness testimony, with the judge ordering him to remain in custody. Traders see the 92.5% probability against release this year as driven by the gravity of the charges, special circumstances, and standard pretrial detention practices in Los Angeles County cases of this magnitude. An August 31 arraignment and potential trial start within 90 days could extend proceedings well into 2027 or beyond, though defense motions for bail or a swift resolution remain theoretical paths to an earlier release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于D4vd released from custody in 2026?
D4vd released from custody in 2026?
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
8% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd, the indie pop artist whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder and related charges in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose remains were found in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing established probable cause for trial based on DNA evidence, purchase records, and witness testimony, with the judge ordering him to remain in custody. Traders see the 92.5% probability against release this year as driven by the gravity of the charges, special circumstances, and standard pretrial detention practices in Los Angeles County cases of this magnitude. An August 31 arraignment and potential trial start within 90 days could extend proceedings well into 2027 or beyond, though defense motions for bail or a swift resolution remain theoretical paths to an earlier release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
交易量
$7,810结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.D4vd, the indie pop artist whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder and related charges in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose remains were found in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing established probable cause for trial based on DNA evidence, purchase records, and witness testimony, with the judge ordering him to remain in custody. Traders see the 92.5% probability against release this year as driven by the gravity of the charges, special circumstances, and standard pretrial detention practices in Los Angeles County cases of this magnitude. An August 31 arraignment and potential trial start within 90 days could extend proceedings well into 2027 or beyond, though defense motions for bail or a swift resolution remain theoretical paths to an earlier release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,810结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...D4vd, the indie pop artist whose real name is David Burke, faces first-degree murder and related charges in the 2025 death of 14-year-old Celeste Rivas Hernandez, whose remains were found in his Tesla. Arrested in April 2026 and held without bail, he pleaded not guilty; a July preliminary hearing established probable cause for trial based on DNA evidence, purchase records, and witness testimony, with the judge ordering him to remain in custody. Traders see the 92.5% probability against release this year as driven by the gravity of the charges, special circumstances, and standard pretrial detention practices in Los Angeles County cases of this magnitude. An August 31 arraignment and potential trial start within 90 days could extend proceedings well into 2027 or beyond, though defense motions for bail or a swift resolution remain theoretical paths to an earlier release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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