Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于200+ 23%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
160-179 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
6%
100-119
15%
120-139
16%
140-159
17%
160-179
16%
180-199
9%
200+
23%
200+ 23%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
160-179 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<20
$624 交易量
1%
20-39
$199 交易量
1%
40-59
$149 交易量
1%
60-79
$251 交易量
3%
80-99
$487 交易量
6%
100-119
$575 交易量
15%
120-139
$416 交易量
16%
140-159
$420 交易量
17%
160-179
$976 交易量
16%
180-199
$556 交易量
9%
200+
$694 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$5,347结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,347结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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