Betty Gilpin leads the market at 43.5% implied probability following the July 8 Emmy nominations, driven by her standout guest turn as Sarah Westcott Warren in the buzzy Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 total nods including for best comedy series. The fresh series’ critical acclaim, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have elevated her over the field. Hacks’ five nominees—led by Kaitlin Olson at 21.6%—face vote-splitting risks in this final-season push, while Jamie Lee Curtis (14.4%) benefits from prior category wins and “The Bear” visibility but lacks equivalent new-show heat. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders are pricing Gilpin’s singular performance visibility and the show’s breakout narrative as decisive factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于艾美奖2026 ：喜剧系列杰出嘉宾女演员
艾美奖2026 ：喜剧系列杰出嘉宾女演员
贝蒂·吉尔平 – “寡妇湾” 43.4%
凯特琳·奥尔森——《喜剧大爆炸》 22.6%
杰米·李·柯蒂斯—《熊家餐馆》 15.6%
莱斯利·比伯——《喜剧女王》 5.8%
$59,372 交易量
$59,372 交易量
2026-09-14
贝蒂·吉尔平 – “寡妇湾”
43%
凯特琳·奥尔森——《喜剧大爆炸》
23%
杰米·李·柯蒂斯—《熊家餐馆》
16%
莱斯利·比伯——《喜剧女王》
6%
Laurie Metcalf –《黑客军团》
6%
雪莉·琼斯 –《黑客》
5%
Lauren Weedman –《喜剧女王》
4%
贝蒂·吉尔平 – “寡妇湾” 43.4%
凯特琳·奥尔森——《喜剧大爆炸》 22.6%
杰米·李·柯蒂斯—《熊家餐馆》 15.6%
莱斯利·比伯——《喜剧女王》 5.8%
$59,372 交易量
$59,372 交易量
2026-09-14
贝蒂·吉尔平 – “寡妇湾”
$16,804 交易量
43%
凯特琳·奥尔森——《喜剧大爆炸》
$34,505 交易量
23%
杰米·李·柯蒂斯—《熊家餐馆》
$2,258 交易量
16%
莱斯利·比伯——《喜剧女王》
$2,396 交易量
6%
Laurie Metcalf –《黑客军团》
$1,151 交易量
6%
雪莉·琼斯 –《黑客》
$1,025 交易量
5%
Lauren Weedman –《喜剧女王》
$1,234 交易量
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Betty Gilpin leads the market at 43.5% implied probability following the July 8 Emmy nominations, driven by her standout guest turn as Sarah Westcott Warren in the buzzy Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 total nods including for best comedy series. The fresh series’ critical acclaim, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have elevated her over the field. Hacks’ five nominees—led by Kaitlin Olson at 21.6%—face vote-splitting risks in this final-season push, while Jamie Lee Curtis (14.4%) benefits from prior category wins and “The Bear” visibility but lacks equivalent new-show heat. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders are pricing Gilpin’s singular performance visibility and the show’s breakout narrative as decisive factors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ET
交易量
$59,372结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Betty Gilpin leads the market at 43.5% implied probability following the July 8 Emmy nominations, driven by her standout guest turn as Sarah Westcott Warren in the buzzy Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 total nods including for best comedy series. The fresh series’ critical acclaim, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have elevated her over the field. Hacks’ five nominees—led by Kaitlin Olson at 21.6%—face vote-splitting risks in this final-season push, while Jamie Lee Curtis (14.4%) benefits from prior category wins and “The Bear” visibility but lacks equivalent new-show heat. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders are pricing Gilpin’s singular performance visibility and the show’s breakout narrative as decisive factors.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$59,372结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 8:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Betty Gilpin leads the market at 43.5% implied probability following the July 8 Emmy nominations, driven by her standout guest turn as Sarah Westcott Warren in the buzzy Apple TV horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay,” which earned 19 total nods including for best comedy series. The fresh series’ critical acclaim, TCA recognition, and word-of-mouth momentum have elevated her over the field. Hacks’ five nominees—led by Kaitlin Olson at 21.6%—face vote-splitting risks in this final-season push, while Jamie Lee Curtis (14.4%) benefits from prior category wins and “The Bear” visibility but lacks equivalent new-show heat. With final voting underway ahead of the September 14 ceremony, traders are pricing Gilpin’s singular performance visibility and the show’s breakout narrative as decisive factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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