Strong economic resilience underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With inflation trending near the 2% target and the labor market showing contained unemployment alongside steady job growth, the FOMC has maintained a data-dependent stance without signaling acute distress. Recent communications emphasize gradual policy normalization rather than crisis intervention, aligning with market pricing of the federal funds rate path. Traders see limited scope for sudden 50-basis-point or larger moves absent major shocks. Potential challengers include a sharp escalation in financial market stress, unexpected banking-sector strain, or a rapid deterioration in growth data that forces an unscheduled easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
$140,762 交易量
$140,762 交易量
2026-12-30
是
8% 概率
$140,762 交易量
$140,762 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong economic resilience underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With inflation trending near the 2% target and the labor market showing contained unemployment alongside steady job growth, the FOMC has maintained a data-dependent stance without signaling acute distress. Recent communications emphasize gradual policy normalization rather than crisis intervention, aligning with market pricing of the federal funds rate path. Traders see limited scope for sudden 50-basis-point or larger moves absent major shocks. Potential challengers include a sharp escalation in financial market stress, unexpected banking-sector strain, or a rapid deterioration in growth data that forces an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$140,762结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong economic resilience underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With inflation trending near the 2% target and the labor market showing contained unemployment alongside steady job growth, the FOMC has maintained a data-dependent stance without signaling acute distress. Recent communications emphasize gradual policy normalization rather than crisis intervention, aligning with market pricing of the federal funds rate path. Traders see limited scope for sudden 50-basis-point or larger moves absent major shocks. Potential challengers include a sharp escalation in financial market stress, unexpected banking-sector strain, or a rapid deterioration in growth data that forces an unscheduled easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$140,762结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong economic resilience underpins the 92.5% market-implied odds against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. With inflation trending near the 2% target and the labor market showing contained unemployment alongside steady job growth, the FOMC has maintained a data-dependent stance without signaling acute distress. Recent communications emphasize gradual policy normalization rather than crisis intervention, aligning with market pricing of the federal funds rate path. Traders see limited scope for sudden 50-basis-point or larger moves absent major shocks. Potential challengers include a sharp escalation in financial market stress, unexpected banking-sector strain, or a rapid deterioration in growth data that forces an unscheduled easing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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