The market-implied odds of 90.5% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect trader consensus around the economy's current resilience and the central bank's measured policy stance. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, recent data show April nonfarm payrolls rising 115,000, unemployment holding at 4.3%, and inflation pressures from energy prices remaining contained rather than crisis-level. Market pricing via futures aligns with this, anticipating no regular cuts through year-end 2026 and possible modest hikes later. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in labor market indicators could still prompt an unscheduled move, though such thresholds appear distant given present trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$105,161 交易量
$105,161 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$105,161 交易量
$105,161 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 90.5% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect trader consensus around the economy's current resilience and the central bank's measured policy stance. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, recent data show April nonfarm payrolls rising 115,000, unemployment holding at 4.3%, and inflation pressures from energy prices remaining contained rather than crisis-level. Market pricing via futures aligns with this, anticipating no regular cuts through year-end 2026 and possible modest hikes later. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in labor market indicators could still prompt an unscheduled move, though such thresholds appear distant given present trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$105,161结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The market-implied odds of 90.5% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect trader consensus around the economy's current resilience and the central bank's measured policy stance. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, recent data show April nonfarm payrolls rising 115,000, unemployment holding at 4.3%, and inflation pressures from energy prices remaining contained rather than crisis-level. Market pricing via futures aligns with this, anticipating no regular cuts through year-end 2026 and possible modest hikes later. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in labor market indicators could still prompt an unscheduled move, though such thresholds appear distant given present trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$105,161结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market-implied odds of 90.5% against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect trader consensus around the economy's current resilience and the central bank's measured policy stance. With the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%–3.75% through multiple 2026 FOMC meetings, recent data show April nonfarm payrolls rising 115,000, unemployment holding at 4.3%, and inflation pressures from energy prices remaining contained rather than crisis-level. Market pricing via futures aligns with this, anticipating no regular cuts through year-end 2026 and possible modest hikes later. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or sharp deterioration in labor market indicators could still prompt an unscheduled move, though such thresholds appear distant given present trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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