Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 23rd congressional district due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $1.7 million, and an early internal poll showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin. Larkin, a progressive organizer, has drawn support from grassroots donors and groups focused on stronger opposition to federal policy priorities, with some surveys indicating he gains ground after voters review candidate biographies. The May 6 redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which shifts district lines northward, has introduced uncertainty as Moskowitz considers pivoting to another seat while Larkin withholds commitment pending legal challenges, factors that continue to shape trader assessments of primary outcomes ahead of the filing deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,337 交易量
$21,337 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
37%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
19%
$21,337 交易量
$21,337 交易量
2026-08-18
贾里德·莫斯科维茨
$9,980 交易量
37%
奥利弗·亚当斯·拉金
$11,358 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 23rd congressional district due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $1.7 million, and an early internal poll showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin. Larkin, a progressive organizer, has drawn support from grassroots donors and groups focused on stronger opposition to federal policy priorities, with some surveys indicating he gains ground after voters review candidate biographies. The May 6 redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which shifts district lines northward, has introduced uncertainty as Moskowitz considers pivoting to another seat while Larkin withholds commitment pending legal challenges, factors that continue to shape trader assessments of primary outcomes ahead of the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
交易量
$21,337结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 23rd congressional district due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $1.7 million, and an early internal poll showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin. Larkin, a progressive organizer, has drawn support from grassroots donors and groups focused on stronger opposition to federal policy priorities, with some surveys indicating he gains ground after voters review candidate biographies. The May 6 redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which shifts district lines northward, has introduced uncertainty as Moskowitz considers pivoting to another seat while Larkin withholds commitment pending legal challenges, factors that continue to shape trader assessments of primary outcomes ahead of the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,337结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jared Moskowitz holds an edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida's 23rd congressional district due to his established name recognition, substantial fundraising totals exceeding $1.7 million, and an early internal poll showing him ahead of challenger Oliver Larkin. Larkin, a progressive organizer, has drawn support from grassroots donors and groups focused on stronger opposition to federal policy priorities, with some surveys indicating he gains ground after voters review candidate biographies. The May 6 redistricting signed by Governor Ron DeSantis, which shifts district lines northward, has introduced uncertainty as Moskowitz considers pivoting to another seat while Larkin withholds commitment pending legal challenges, factors that continue to shape trader assessments of primary outcomes ahead of the filing deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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