The recent September 3, 2026, models outage on Grok (Web), lasting over three hours and tied to an issue at xAI’s Memphis data center, stands as the key catalyst shaping trader views on near-term reliability. This event coincided with simultaneous disruptions at ChatGPT and Claude, underscoring shared infrastructure strains across major large language model providers amid surging demand. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with no new incidents in the following week, yet recurring past outages in early 2026 highlight ongoing scaling challenges for xAI’s compute resources. Traders monitoring resolution criteria will watch for any fresh announcements on data center expansions or model releases that could either stabilize service or introduce fresh risks before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
49%
10月31日
54%
12月31日
62%
$0.00 交易量
9月30日
$0 交易量
49%
10月31日
$0 交易量
54%
12月31日
$0 交易量
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".The recent September 3, 2026, models outage on Grok (Web), lasting over three hours and tied to an issue at xAI’s Memphis data center, stands as the key catalyst shaping trader views on near-term reliability. This event coincided with simultaneous disruptions at ChatGPT and Claude, underscoring shared infrastructure strains across major large language model providers amid surging demand. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with no new incidents in the following week, yet recurring past outages in early 2026 highlight ongoing scaling challenges for xAI’s compute resources. Traders monitoring resolution criteria will watch for any fresh announcements on data center expansions or model releases that could either stabilize service or introduce fresh risks before the market closes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".The recent September 3, 2026, models outage on Grok (Web), lasting over three hours and tied to an issue at xAI’s Memphis data center, stands as the key catalyst shaping trader views on near-term reliability. This event coincided with simultaneous disruptions at ChatGPT and Claude, underscoring shared infrastructure strains across major large language model providers amid surging demand. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with no new incidents in the following week, yet recurring past outages in early 2026 highlight ongoing scaling challenges for xAI’s compute resources. Traders monitoring resolution criteria will watch for any fresh announcements on data center expansions or model releases that could either stabilize service or introduce fresh risks before the market closes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 2:19 PM ETThe recent September 3, 2026, models outage on Grok (Web), lasting over three hours and tied to an issue at xAI’s Memphis data center, stands as the key catalyst shaping trader views on near-term reliability. This event coincided with simultaneous disruptions at ChatGPT and Claude, underscoring shared infrastructure strains across major large language model providers amid surging demand. Official status pages now show full operational uptime with no new incidents in the following week, yet recurring past outages in early 2026 highlight ongoing scaling challenges for xAI’s compute resources. Traders monitoring resolution criteria will watch for any fresh announcements on data center expansions or model releases that could either stabilize service or introduce fresh risks before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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