Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 22?
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
26%
22°C
31%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 31%
21°C 26%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-22
15°C or below
$106 交易量
<1%
16°C
$162 交易量
<1%
17°C
$167 交易量
1%
18°C
$127 交易量
5%
19°C
$121 交易量
13%
20°C
$101 交易量
22%
21°C
$176 交易量
26%
22°C
$297 交易量
31%
23°C
$94 交易量
9%
24°C
$110 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$105 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$1,561结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,561结束日期
2026-05-22市场开放时间
May 20, 2026, 12:14 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a maximum temperature in Beijing on May 22 most likely between 20°C and 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Ensemble predictions show modest day-to-day variability tied to shifting cloud cover, light winds, and surface heating under spring transitional conditions, with official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlighting a narrow range rather than a single consensus value. Historical May averages near 26–28°C provide context, yet recent model runs reflect cooler-than-normal steering patterns that suppress peak heating. Updated forecast releases in the next 24–48 hours could narrow or shift these probabilities as new observational data refines the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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