Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 4?
11°C 44%
10°C 33%
12°C 21%
13°C 2.8%
最新
$17,251 交易量
最新
$17,251 交易量
2026-07-04
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
33%
11°C
44%
12°C
21%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 44%
10°C 33%
12°C 21%
13°C 2.8%
最新
$17,251 交易量
最新
$17,251 交易量
2026-07-04
6°C or below
$1,058 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,032 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,190 交易量
1%
9°C
$724 交易量
3%
10°C
$1,241 交易量
33%
11°C
$3,563 交易量
44%
12°C
$5,031 交易量
21%
13°C
$1,107 交易量
3%
14°C
$931 交易量
1%
15°C
$479 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$901 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,251结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,251结束日期
2026-07-04市场开放时间
Jul 2, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, indicate a maximum temperature near 11–12 °C in Buenos Aires on July 4, driven by persistent overcast conditions and southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. These factors limit daytime solar heating and keep surface temperatures below the July climatological average of 13–15 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains modest given the proximity to the event, primarily tied to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; traders appear to weight outcomes accordingly, with the heaviest volume on 11 °C and 12 °C reflecting model consensus while allowing modest probability for 10 °C or 13 °C if conditions shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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