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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?

28°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$341,920 交易量

28°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$341,920 交易量

23°C or below

$11,127 交易量

No

24°C

$5,711 交易量

No

25°C

$9,099 交易量

No

26°C

$18,247 交易量

No

27°C

$84,812 交易量

No

28°C

$43,866 交易量

Yes

29°C

$53,628 交易量

No

30°C

$42,158 交易量

No

31°C

$25,741 交易量

No

32°C

$28,339 交易量

No

33°C or higher

$19,192 交易量

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$341,920
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and aligned numerical weather models indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on June 9, supported by extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating sea breeze that restricted solar heating amid typical early-summer humidity levels exceeding 80 percent. These conditions aligned with seasonal baselines for the region, where June maxima often reach 30–32°C under clearer skies but are suppressed by persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Trader consensus at near-100 percent implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects high confidence in official station readings, with only modest upside risk from any late-afternoon clearing that failed to materialize.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$341,920
结束日期
2026-06-09
市场开放时间
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"28°C",概率为 100%,其次是"23°C or below",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?"已产生 $341.9K 的总交易量(自Jun 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?"的当前领先者是"28°C",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"23°C or below",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。