**Strong model consensus for a daily maximum well above 26°C underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs of 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F) amid typical late-summer conditions with warm advection and limited cloud cover initially. These projections align with regional climatology for Shandong province in mid-to-late August, when daytime peaks routinely exceed 30°C. Uncertainties in precipitation timing or intensity could modestly lower readings if widespread thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, yet current guidance shows only scattered activity that is unlikely to suppress the peak below the dominant threshold. Fresh model runs and official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日济南气温最高？
8月23日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 95%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
16°C or below
$79 交易量
1%
17°C
$79 交易量
1%
18°C
$79 交易量
1%
19°C
$79 交易量
1%
20°C
$79 交易量
1%
21°C
$79 交易量
1%
22°C
$79 交易量
1%
23°C
$79 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C or higher
$341 交易量
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus for a daily maximum well above 26°C underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs of 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F) amid typical late-summer conditions with warm advection and limited cloud cover initially. These projections align with regional climatology for Shandong province in mid-to-late August, when daytime peaks routinely exceed 30°C. Uncertainties in precipitation timing or intensity could modestly lower readings if widespread thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, yet current guidance shows only scattered activity that is unlikely to suppress the peak below the dominant threshold. Fresh model runs and official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$974结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus for a daily maximum well above 26°C underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs of 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F) amid typical late-summer conditions with warm advection and limited cloud cover initially. These projections align with regional climatology for Shandong province in mid-to-late August, when daytime peaks routinely exceed 30°C. Uncertainties in precipitation timing or intensity could modestly lower readings if widespread thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, yet current guidance shows only scattered activity that is unlikely to suppress the peak below the dominant threshold. Fresh model runs and official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$974结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Strong model consensus for a daily maximum well above 26°C underpins the 95.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 23.** Multiple forecasts, including those from WeatherBug, AccuWeather, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate highs of 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F) amid typical late-summer conditions with warm advection and limited cloud cover initially. These projections align with regional climatology for Shandong province in mid-to-late August, when daytime peaks routinely exceed 30°C. Uncertainties in precipitation timing or intensity could modestly lower readings if widespread thunderstorms develop earlier than expected, yet current guidance shows only scattered activity that is unlikely to suppress the peak below the dominant threshold. Fresh model runs and official updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will provide the final confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题