Recent official forecasts and climatological data for Jinan in late August strongly support the market's overwhelming consensus on a daily high of 26°C or higher. August averages place normal daytime maxima near 31°C, with 2026 observations and model runs from regional agencies consistently projecting 32–36°C for August 22 amid typical subtropical high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover. Multiple ensemble outputs show only modest variability from scattered showers, insufficient to drop the peak below the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected, intense cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall that models currently do not indicate, underscoring the low implied probability of cooler outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日济南气温最高？
8月22日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
16°C or below
$295 交易量
<1%
17°C
$295 交易量
<1%
18°C
$295 交易量
<1%
19°C
$295 交易量
<1%
20°C
$295 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,500 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,700 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,502 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,050 交易量
<1%
25°C
$720 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,327 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and climatological data for Jinan in late August strongly support the market's overwhelming consensus on a daily high of 26°C or higher. August averages place normal daytime maxima near 31°C, with 2026 observations and model runs from regional agencies consistently projecting 32–36°C for August 22 amid typical subtropical high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover. Multiple ensemble outputs show only modest variability from scattered showers, insufficient to drop the peak below the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected, intense cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall that models currently do not indicate, underscoring the low implied probability of cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$9,274结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and climatological data for Jinan in late August strongly support the market's overwhelming consensus on a daily high of 26°C or higher. August averages place normal daytime maxima near 31°C, with 2026 observations and model runs from regional agencies consistently projecting 32–36°C for August 22 amid typical subtropical high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover. Multiple ensemble outputs show only modest variability from scattered showers, insufficient to drop the peak below the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected, intense cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall that models currently do not indicate, underscoring the low implied probability of cooler outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,274结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts and climatological data for Jinan in late August strongly support the market's overwhelming consensus on a daily high of 26°C or higher. August averages place normal daytime maxima near 31°C, with 2026 observations and model runs from regional agencies consistently projecting 32–36°C for August 22 amid typical subtropical high-pressure influence and limited cloud cover. Multiple ensemble outputs show only modest variability from scattered showers, insufficient to drop the peak below the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected, intense cold surge or prolonged heavy rainfall that models currently do not indicate, underscoring the low implied probability of cooler outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题