Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 22?
Highest temperature in London on April 22?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 交易量
$310,111 交易量
2026-04-22
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$310,111 交易量
$310,111 交易量
2026-04-22
9°C or below
$12,980 交易量
No
10°C
$7,555 交易量
No
11°C
$6,945 交易量
No
12°C
$10,562 交易量
No
13°C
$24,656 交易量
No
14°C
$68,373 交易量
No
15°C
$61,465 交易量
Yes
16°C
$45,087 交易量
No
17°C
$30,168 交易量
No
18°C
$29,130 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$13,191 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$310,111结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$310,111结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Official observations from the London City Airport meteorological station, corroborated by Met Office data at nearby Heathrow and St James's Park sites, confirm a maximum temperature of 15°C on April 22, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies, light winds, and a cooler northerly airflow—following the early April heatwave that peaked above 26°C—suppressed temperatures in line with pre-event Met Office and BBC Weather model consensus forecasting highs of 15–17°C amid waning high pressure. While measurement protocols at screened thermometers ensure reliability, rare post hoc revisions from quality control could theoretically challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments are minimal for daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题