Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日卡拉奇的最高温度?
35°C 26%
37°C或更高 24%
36°C 23%
34°C 15%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
15%
35°C
26%
36°C
23%
37°C或更高
24%
35°C 26%
37°C或更高 24%
36°C 23%
34°C 15%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
15%
35°C
26%
36°C
23%
37°C或更高
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate persistent hot, dry conditions across Sindh through May 19, with near-normal to slightly above-average highs driven by strong solar heating, continental air advection, and upper-level subsidence. Coastal sea-breeze effects from the Arabian Sea and 40–70% daytime humidity introduce 1–2°C daily variability, positioning 35°C and 36°C as the closest-matched outcomes in trader consensus. Historical May climatology for Karachi centers on 34–35°C highs, providing a baseline against which current forecasts show modest upward pressure but limited extreme-heat potential before the monsoon onset. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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