Latest forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to continued hot and humid conditions in Karachi on May 17, with daytime maxima driven by intense solar radiation typical of pre-monsoon May and moderated by southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. These coastal winds introduce moisture that limits peak heating, keeping most model runs clustered between 35–37°C. Minor shifts in breeze timing or cloud cover could push the high to 37°C or above, which explains the close market-implied odds favoring that outcome at 41 percent. Clear skies overnight have maintained elevated minimums near 28°C, further supporting the narrow temperature band traders currently price.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日卡拉奇的最高温度?
37°C或更高 38%
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.1%
$13,008 交易量
$13,008 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
7%
35°C
24%
36°C
33%
37°C或更高
38%
37°C或更高 38%
36°C 33%
35°C 24%
34°C 7.1%
$13,008 交易量
$13,008 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
7%
35°C
24%
36°C
33%
37°C或更高
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department point to continued hot and humid conditions in Karachi on May 17, with daytime maxima driven by intense solar radiation typical of pre-monsoon May and moderated by southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea. These coastal winds introduce moisture that limits peak heating, keeping most model runs clustered between 35–37°C. Minor shifts in breeze timing or cloud cover could push the high to 37°C or above, which explains the close market-implied odds favoring that outcome at 41 percent. Clear skies overnight have maintained elevated minimums near 28°C, further supporting the narrow temperature band traders currently price.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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