Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's high temperature on May 17 will most likely reach 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for the 19°C bracket at 54%, with 18°C close behind at 29%. Mid-May climatology in the region typically features highs near 25°C, but recent model runs show cooler air advection limiting daytime warming and reducing the chance of exceeding 20°C. Afternoon observations from Beijing Capital International Airport will determine the exact peak, with any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns potentially adjusting final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日北京气温最高？
5月17日北京气温最高？
19°C 51%
18°C 35.6%
20°C 15%
21°C 3.0%
最新
$32,135 交易量
最新
$32,135 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
36%
19°C
51%
20°C
15%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 51%
18°C 35.6%
20°C 15%
21°C 3.0%
最新
$32,135 交易量
最新
$32,135 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$506 交易量
<1%
14°C
$629 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,749 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5,142 交易量
<1%
17°C
$7,351 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,362 交易量
36%
19°C
$2,183 交易量
51%
20°C
$2,282 交易量
15%
21°C
$1,905 交易量
3%
22°C
$3,372 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,214 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's high temperature on May 17 will most likely reach 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for the 19°C bracket at 54%, with 18°C close behind at 29%. Mid-May climatology in the region typically features highs near 25°C, but recent model runs show cooler air advection limiting daytime warming and reducing the chance of exceeding 20°C. Afternoon observations from Beijing Capital International Airport will determine the exact peak, with any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns potentially adjusting final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$32,135结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's high temperature on May 17 will most likely reach 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for the 19°C bracket at 54%, with 18°C close behind at 29%. Mid-May climatology in the region typically features highs near 25°C, but recent model runs show cooler air advection limiting daytime warming and reducing the chance of exceeding 20°C. Afternoon observations from Beijing Capital International Airport will determine the exact peak, with any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns potentially adjusting final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,135结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Beijing's high temperature on May 17 will most likely reach 19°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This consensus drives the market's strong preference for the 19°C bracket at 54%, with 18°C close behind at 29%. Mid-May climatology in the region typically features highs near 25°C, but recent model runs show cooler air advection limiting daytime warming and reducing the chance of exceeding 20°C. Afternoon observations from Beijing Capital International Airport will determine the exact peak, with any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns potentially adjusting final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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