Current National Weather Service model guidance for the Northeast shows substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over New York City on May 21, with ensemble spreads placing the Central Park minimum anywhere from the low 50s°F to the upper 60s°F depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Warmer outcomes above 68°F gain market support when drier air masses and light winds limit cooling, while cooler bins near 49°F or below strengthen if clearer skies and northerly flow enhance heat loss. Mid-range clusters around 54–57°F align with climatological mid-May norms and recent model consensus, yet rapid shifts in 48-hour forecasts could still move probabilities as new runs incorporate updated sea-surface temperatures and jet-stream positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市5月21日的最低温度？
纽约市5月21日的最低温度？
68°F或更高 41%
49°F或更低 26%
58-59°F 19%
60-61°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-21
49°F或更低
26%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
17%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
5%
68°F或更高
41%
68°F或更高 41%
49°F或更低 26%
58-59°F 19%
60-61°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-05-21
49°F或更低
$18 交易量
26%
50-51°F
$0 交易量
5%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
5%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
17%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
18%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
19%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
19%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
18%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
14%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68°F或更高
$10 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service model guidance for the Northeast shows substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over New York City on May 21, with ensemble spreads placing the Central Park minimum anywhere from the low 50s°F to the upper 60s°F depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Warmer outcomes above 68°F gain market support when drier air masses and light winds limit cooling, while cooler bins near 49°F or below strengthen if clearer skies and northerly flow enhance heat loss. Mid-range clusters around 54–57°F align with climatological mid-May norms and recent model consensus, yet rapid shifts in 48-hour forecasts could still move probabilities as new runs incorporate updated sea-surface temperatures and jet-stream positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$28结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service model guidance for the Northeast shows substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over New York City on May 21, with ensemble spreads placing the Central Park minimum anywhere from the low 50s°F to the upper 60s°F depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Warmer outcomes above 68°F gain market support when drier air masses and light winds limit cooling, while cooler bins near 49°F or below strengthen if clearer skies and northerly flow enhance heat loss. Mid-range clusters around 54–57°F align with climatological mid-May norms and recent model consensus, yet rapid shifts in 48-hour forecasts could still move probabilities as new runs incorporate updated sea-surface temperatures and jet-stream positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service model guidance for the Northeast shows substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over New York City on May 21, with ensemble spreads placing the Central Park minimum anywhere from the low 50s°F to the upper 60s°F depending on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Warmer outcomes above 68°F gain market support when drier air masses and light winds limit cooling, while cooler bins near 49°F or below strengthen if clearer skies and northerly flow enhance heat loss. Mid-range clusters around 54–57°F align with climatological mid-May norms and recent model consensus, yet rapid shifts in 48-hour forecasts could still move probabilities as new runs incorporate updated sea-surface temperatures and jet-stream positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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