Latest forecast guidance from meteorological agencies places Chengdu’s daily maximum near 29°C for May 17 under typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and a strengthening subtropical high are expected to support afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Model ensembles show limited spread, though residual uncertainty in convective heating and cloud cover keeps the 28°C and 30°C outcomes competitive at 22% and 13.5% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data showing that exact daily highs in this range often hinge on minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs this morning continue to anchor consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日成都气温最高？
5月17日成都气温最高？
29°C 31%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
最新
$16,419 交易量
最新
$16,419 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
31%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
30°C 14%
最新
$16,419 交易量
最新
$16,419 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$1,314 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,543 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,200 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,481 交易量
6%
27°C
$2,151 交易量
16%
28°C
$1,999 交易量
20%
29°C
$1,833 交易量
31%
30°C
$537 交易量
14%
31°C
$1,269 交易量
6%
32°C
$1,206 交易量
1%
33°C or higher
$1,892 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from meteorological agencies places Chengdu’s daily maximum near 29°C for May 17 under typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and a strengthening subtropical high are expected to support afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Model ensembles show limited spread, though residual uncertainty in convective heating and cloud cover keeps the 28°C and 30°C outcomes competitive at 22% and 13.5% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data showing that exact daily highs in this range often hinge on minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs this morning continue to anchor consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$16,419结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from meteorological agencies places Chengdu’s daily maximum near 29°C for May 17 under typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and a strengthening subtropical high are expected to support afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Model ensembles show limited spread, though residual uncertainty in convective heating and cloud cover keeps the 28°C and 30°C outcomes competitive at 22% and 13.5% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data showing that exact daily highs in this range often hinge on minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs this morning continue to anchor consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,419结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest forecast guidance from meteorological agencies places Chengdu’s daily maximum near 29°C for May 17 under typical late-spring conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Moderate humidity, light southerly flow, and a strengthening subtropical high are expected to support afternoon temperatures in the upper 20s, consistent with mid-May climatological averages of 26–28°C. Model ensembles show limited spread, though residual uncertainty in convective heating and cloud cover keeps the 28°C and 30°C outcomes competitive at 22% and 13.5% implied probability. Traders weigh these factors against historical station data showing that exact daily highs in this range often hinge on minor variations in insolation and boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs this morning continue to anchor consensus around the 29°C threshold ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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