**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming. Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer. Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月3日洛杉矶气温最高？
78-79华氏度 47%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
32%
78-79华氏度
47%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90华氏度或更高
<1%
78-79华氏度 47%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 12%
74-75°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
71°F或以下
$68 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$404 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$37 交易量
8%
76-77°F
$96 交易量
32%
78-79华氏度
$480 交易量
47%
80-81°F
$131 交易量
12%
82-83°F
$280 交易量
3%
84-85°F
$34 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$165 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$132 交易量
1%
90华氏度或更高
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming.
Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer.
Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming.
Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer.
Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,963结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET**Marine layer moderation and stable onshore flow position the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the station used for resolution, in the mid-to-upper 70s on August 3.** National Weather Service forecasts show a high near 78°F under patchy morning fog, gradual afternoon clearing, and light west-southwest winds, consistent with typical early-August coastal patterns where the marine layer caps daytime warming. Recent model runs and observations confirm no strong offshore flow or interior heat surge is expected to override this, keeping values below the seasonal 85°F average high. The 76–79°F outcomes together command nearly 80% implied probability because they align with current guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic setups. Minor upside risk to 80–81°F exists if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while downside remains limited absent an unusual strengthening of the marine layer. Traders are weighting the latest official NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus, which have shown consistency in the days leading into the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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