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icon for 8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?

8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?

icon for 8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?

8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?

80-81°F 54%

78-79°F 31%

82-83°F 12%

77°F或以下 5%

Polymarket
最新

$15,931 交易量

80-81°F 54%

78-79°F 31%

82-83°F 12%

77°F或以下 5%

Polymarket
最新

$15,931 交易量

77°F或以下

$3,413 交易量

5%

78-79°F

$2,168 交易量

31%

80-81°F

$3,179 交易量

54%

82-83°F

$1,896 交易量

12%

84-85°F

$919 交易量

4%

86-87°F

$893 交易量

1%

88-89°F

$1,001 交易量

1%

90-91°F

$402 交易量

<1%

92-93°F

$407 交易量

<1%

94-95°F

$407 交易量

<1%

96°F或更高

$1,246 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,931
结束日期
2026-08-02
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 80–82 °F on August 2, even amid a regional heat dome. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate afternoon temperatures at representative stations like KLAX or downtown will peak in the low 80s, with limited inland penetration of the warmest air mass due to the marine inversion. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 53.5 % implied probability for 80–81 °F and 30.5 % for 78–79 °F. Recent model runs show minimal warming trend from August 1, while historical August climatology places normal highs near 84 °F, underscoring how coastal moderation is overriding broader above-normal signals from NOAA outlooks. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,931
结束日期
2026-08-02
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"80-81°F",概率为 54%,其次是"78-79°F",概率为 31%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?"已产生 $15.9K 的总交易量(自Jul 31, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?"的当前领先者是"80-81°F",概率为 54%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"78-79°F",概率为 31%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"8月2日洛杉矶气温最高?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。