Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 2 high temperature centers on National Weather Service forecasts showing a moderate range driven by persistent marine air and a weak upper-level trough. Onshore southwesterly flow and increasing clouds are limiting daytime heating, keeping projected maxima near 70–73°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with the market's clustered probabilities around those bins. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, where sea-surface temperatures near 55–58°F offshore moderate extremes. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could add or subtract a few degrees, with model consensus narrow enough to explain the tight spread among 68–73°F outcomes rather than higher readings seen in hotter summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日西雅图最高温度?
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 25%
66-67°F 8%
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Seattle's August 2 high temperature centers on National Weather Service forecasts showing a moderate range driven by persistent marine air and a weak upper-level trough. Onshore southwesterly flow and increasing clouds are limiting daytime heating, keeping projected maxima near 70–73°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with the market's clustered probabilities around those bins. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early August under neutral ENSO conditions, where sea-surface temperatures near 55–58°F offshore moderate extremes. Key uncertainties include the exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts that could add or subtract a few degrees, with model consensus narrow enough to explain the tight spread among 68–73°F outcomes rather than higher readings seen in hotter summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs will provide the next resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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