Short-term forecast uncertainty from monsoon dynamics drives the closely matched market odds around 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with heavier afternoon showers expected to suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while any break in convection could allow readings to reach the upper end of the range. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 33°C under active monsoon conditions, and current ensemble guidance from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department indicates no strong heat-wave signals or significant dry-air intrusions that would push values substantially higher or lower. Traders are thus weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal norm, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour precipitation totals and boundary-layer moisture profiles observed on the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月24日勒克瑙的最高温度？
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
21%
33°C
32%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
4%
33°C 32%
34°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
26°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$55 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$17 交易量
4%
31°C
$4 交易量
11%
32°C
$206 交易量
21%
33°C
$29 交易量
32%
34°C
$67 交易量
24%
35°C
$0 交易量
7%
36°C or higher
$3 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from monsoon dynamics drives the closely matched market odds around 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with heavier afternoon showers expected to suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while any break in convection could allow readings to reach the upper end of the range. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 33°C under active monsoon conditions, and current ensemble guidance from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department indicates no strong heat-wave signals or significant dry-air intrusions that would push values substantially higher or lower. Traders are thus weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal norm, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour precipitation totals and boundary-layer moisture profiles observed on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
交易量
$387结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from monsoon dynamics drives the closely matched market odds around 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with heavier afternoon showers expected to suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while any break in convection could allow readings to reach the upper end of the range. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 33°C under active monsoon conditions, and current ensemble guidance from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department indicates no strong heat-wave signals or significant dry-air intrusions that would push values substantially higher or lower. Traders are thus weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal norm, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour precipitation totals and boundary-layer moisture profiles observed on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$387结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETShort-term forecast uncertainty from monsoon dynamics drives the closely matched market odds around 32–34°C for Lucknow’s August 24 maximum. Numerical weather models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with heavier afternoon showers expected to suppress peak temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing solar insolation, while any break in convection could allow readings to reach the upper end of the range. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 33°C under active monsoon conditions, and current ensemble guidance from agencies such as the India Meteorological Department indicates no strong heat-wave signals or significant dry-air intrusions that would push values substantially higher or lower. Traders are thus weighting the most probable outcomes near the seasonal norm, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour precipitation totals and boundary-layer moisture profiles observed on the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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