**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.** Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月7日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C或更高 42%
23°C 37%
22°C 26%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
11%
22°C
26%
23°C
37%
24°C或更高
28%
24°C或更高 42%
23°C 37%
22°C 26%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$17 交易量
7%
21°C
$27 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C或更高
$43 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.**
Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$86结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.**
Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$86结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 8:56 AM ET**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24 °C for Mexico City’s September 7 maximum because current forecast guidance shows afternoon highs near the long-term September average of 23–24 °C, tempered by persistent rainy-season cloud cover and showers.** Model consensus from sources such as Worldmeteo and Yr indicates a 22 °C high on Monday with 50 % rain probability, while drier or clearer scenarios in other runs allow brief warming to 24 °C or above. At Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation, reduced solar insolation from convective clouds and high humidity limit daytime heating, keeping maxima close to climatological norms rather than the occasional 25–26 °C peaks seen in drier periods. With resolution only two days away, traders are weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF runs and any CONAGUA updates that could shift the balance between the leading 23 °C and 24 °C+ outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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