Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日纽约市最高气温？
8月3日纽约市最高气温？
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
73°F or below
$150 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$136 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$92 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$77 交易量
7%
80-81°F
$151 交易量
22%
82-83°F
$195 交易量
35%
84-85°F
$199 交易量
33%
86-87°F
$193 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$3,213 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$96 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$345 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$4,847结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,847结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high of 82–85°F in New York City on August 3, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. A moist southerly flow and possible showers or thunderstorms—driven by weak shortwave energy and high boundary-layer humidity—introduce modest cooling that caps peak readings near or slightly below the 83°F August average. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show limited upside potential above 86°F unless clearer skies and stronger insolation develop, while urban heat-island effects at Central Park measurement sites add a small positive bias. New 12Z model runs and afternoon NWS updates will refine the timing of any convection and the resulting maximum temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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