Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low of 73–75°F in New York City on August 3, driven by typical late-summer humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high near 82°F. These conditions align with the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 45% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model outputs rather than any unusual pattern. Warmer-than-average August trends noted in recent CPC outlooks add slight upward pressure on minimum temperatures compared with the 1991–2020 baseline of roughly 70°F, though short-term variability in steering flow could still shift the exact reading by a degree or two before official station data finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日纽约市最低气温？
8月3日纽约市最低气温？
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
65°F或以下
$95 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$25 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$154 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$130 交易量
8%
72-73°F
$154 交易量
11%
74-75°F
$535 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$114 交易量
31%
78-79°F
$103 交易量
13%
80-81°F
$1,018 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$675 交易量
1%
84°F或更高
$90 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low of 73–75°F in New York City on August 3, driven by typical late-summer humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high near 82°F. These conditions align with the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 45% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model outputs rather than any unusual pattern. Warmer-than-average August trends noted in recent CPC outlooks add slight upward pressure on minimum temperatures compared with the 1991–2020 baseline of roughly 70°F, though short-term variability in steering flow could still shift the exact reading by a degree or two before official station data finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,094结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low of 73–75°F in New York City on August 3, driven by typical late-summer humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high near 82°F. These conditions align with the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 45% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model outputs rather than any unusual pattern. Warmer-than-average August trends noted in recent CPC outlooks add slight upward pressure on minimum temperatures compared with the 1991–2020 baseline of roughly 70°F, though short-term variability in steering flow could still shift the exact reading by a degree or two before official station data finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,094结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather points to an overnight low of 73–75°F in New York City on August 3, driven by typical late-summer humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling after a daytime high near 82°F. These conditions align with the market's leading 74–75°F bin at 45% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model outputs rather than any unusual pattern. Warmer-than-average August trends noted in recent CPC outlooks add slight upward pressure on minimum temperatures compared with the 1991–2020 baseline of roughly 70°F, though short-term variability in steering flow could still shift the exact reading by a degree or two before official station data finalize the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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