Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月4日的最高温度？
新加坡8月4日的最高温度？
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33°C
39%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 39%
31°C 9%
34°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$109 交易量
<1%
28°C
$110 交易量
1%
29°C
$96 交易量
2%
30°C
$54 交易量
2%
31°C
$56 交易量
9%
32°C
$222 交易量
50%
33°C
$209 交易量
39%
34°C
$57 交易量
4%
35°C
$72 交易量
1%
36°C
$94 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$182 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,260结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,260结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Environment Agency guidance for early August 2026 highlights drier-than-average conditions and daily maximum temperatures of 33–34 °C on most days, driven by reduced cloud cover and occasional windy periods that limit afternoon convective cooling. Current deterministic and ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with this outlook, projecting a peak near 32–33 °C on 4 August amid typical tropical humidity (70–90 %) and scattered thundery showers that may briefly suppress the high. Market-implied odds heavily favor these two outcomes because they match the consensus range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from exact shower timing and localized wind shifts; historical August maxima average 31 °C, but the drier signal supports the modest upward shift reflected in trader positioning. Updated short-range model runs and the next NEA advisory will provide the key data points for any further adjustment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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