Singapore’s Southwest Monsoon regime and emerging El Niño conditions anchor trader expectations near 32–33 °C for July 16. Typical July maxima cluster at 31–33 °C under high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; recent NEA guidance notes daily peaks of 33–34 °C on clearer days, with thundery showers and occasional Sumatra squalls providing localized cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects. Market clustering around 31–33 °C reflects model spread in cloud cover and timing of convective initiation, while probabilities above 34 °C remain low absent prolonged clear skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡7月16日的最高温度?
32°C 56%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
56%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 24%
31°C 20%
30°C 2.3%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
20%
32°C
56%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore’s Southwest Monsoon regime and emerging El Niño conditions anchor trader expectations near 32–33 °C for July 16. Typical July maxima cluster at 31–33 °C under high humidity and frequent afternoon convection; recent NEA guidance notes daily peaks of 33–34 °C on clearer days, with thundery showers and occasional Sumatra squalls providing localized cooling through reduced insolation and evaporative effects. Market clustering around 31–33 °C reflects model spread in cloud cover and timing of convective initiation, while probabilities above 34 °C remain low absent prolonged clear skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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