Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日首尔最低气温？
7月16日首尔最低气温？
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
40%
24°C
39%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 39%
22°C 13%
25°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
19°C或以下
$820 交易量
<1%
20°C
$212 交易量
2%
21°C
$38 交易量
5%
22°C
$37 交易量
13%
23°C
$3,342 交易量
40%
24°C
$131 交易量
39%
25°C
$56 交易量
9%
26°C
$46 交易量
3%
27°C
$222 交易量
<1%
28°C
$442 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$397 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,744结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent KMA and international model runs indicate Seoul's July 16 minimum temperature—defined as the lowest reading between 3–9 a.m. local time—will likely fall in the 22–24°C range amid typical East Asian monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and variable cloud cover. The market's leading 19°C-or-below bracket at 38% implied probability reflects trader emphasis on potential overnight cooling from increased precipitation chances and recent cooler analogs, such as the confirmed 22°C low on July 7. Updated short-range forecasts showing highs near 31–33°C and variable steering patterns support the clustered probabilities around 21–23°C, while historical July baselines near 21–23°C provide climatological context for the uncertainty. New KMA updates expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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