Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate overnight lows in London on July 16 will likely settle between 15–18°C amid a warm spell transitioning with possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover. This pattern limits radiative cooling while urban heat island effects and light winds maintain milder minima, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from exact frontal timing and Atlantic moisture influx, with historical July averages near 15°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月16日伦敦最低气温？
7月16日伦敦最低气温？
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
16°C 23%
15°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17°C
33%
18°C
43%
19°C
5%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 33%
16°C 23%
15°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
12°C or below
$440 交易量
<1%
13°C
$157 交易量
<1%
14°C
$257 交易量
2%
15°C
$125 交易量
5%
16°C
$200 交易量
23%
17°C
$227 交易量
33%
18°C
$606 交易量
43%
19°C
$131 交易量
5%
20°C
$205 交易量
<1%
21°C
$375 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate overnight lows in London on July 16 will likely settle between 15–18°C amid a warm spell transitioning with possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover. This pattern limits radiative cooling while urban heat island effects and light winds maintain milder minima, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from exact frontal timing and Atlantic moisture influx, with historical July averages near 15°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,934结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate overnight lows in London on July 16 will likely settle between 15–18°C amid a warm spell transitioning with possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover. This pattern limits radiative cooling while urban heat island effects and light winds maintain milder minima, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from exact frontal timing and Atlantic moisture influx, with historical July averages near 15°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,934结束日期
2026-07-16市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office indicate overnight lows in London on July 16 will likely settle between 15–18°C amid a warm spell transitioning with possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover. This pattern limits radiative cooling while urban heat island effects and light winds maintain milder minima, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from exact frontal timing and Atlantic moisture influx, with historical July averages near 15°C providing baseline context. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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