Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日台北气温最高？
8月4日台北气温最高？
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
24%
36°C
31%
37°C
27%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
3%
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 24%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C或以下
$71 交易量
<1%
30°C
$48 交易量
<1%
31°C
$53 交易量
<1%
32°C
$61 交易量
2%
33°C
$28 交易量
5%
34°C
$60 交易量
13%
35°C
$20 交易量
24%
36°C
$86 交易量
31%
37°C
$39 交易量
27%
38°C
$179 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$161 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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