Recent ensemble forecasts from global weather models show the highest temperature in Toronto on May 22 most likely reaching 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading probabilities. Moderate uncertainty arises from variations in afternoon cloud cover and wind direction that control daytime heating rates, while a weak high-pressure ridge limits stronger warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18°C, yet recent northerly flow has kept readings cooler. Environment and Climate Change Canada’s next model cycle and updated observations later today will further narrow the range ahead of daily resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 22?
16°C 27%
15°C 23%
14°C 19%
17°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
19%
15°C
23%
16°C
27%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C或更高
2%
16°C 27%
15°C 23%
14°C 19%
17°C 14%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
7%
14°C
19%
15°C
23%
16°C
27%
17°C
14%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global weather models show the highest temperature in Toronto on May 22 most likely reaching 15–16°C, consistent with the market’s closely matched leading probabilities. Moderate uncertainty arises from variations in afternoon cloud cover and wind direction that control daytime heating rates, while a weak high-pressure ridge limits stronger warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 18°C, yet recent northerly flow has kept readings cooler. Environment and Climate Change Canada’s next model cycle and updated observations later today will further narrow the range ahead of daily resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题