Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月4日惠灵顿的最高温度？
10°C 50%
11°C 29%
9°C 17%
7°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
17%
10°C
50%
11°C
29%
12°C
4%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 50%
11°C 29%
9°C 17%
7°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
4°C or below
$433 交易量
<1%
5°C
$423 交易量
<1%
6°C
$267 交易量
<1%
7°C
$20 交易量
4%
8°C
$98 交易量
4%
9°C
$136 交易量
17%
10°C
$179 交易量
50%
11°C
$362 交易量
29%
12°C
$82 交易量
4%
13°C
$91 交易量
2%
14°C or higher
$30 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,121结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,121结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models point to a southwest flow behind a northward-moving front as the main driver keeping Wellington’s August 4 maximum near 10 °C. This pattern typically delivers cooler maritime air and limited sunshine, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 9–11 °C outcomes. Seasonal averages for early August sit around 12–13 °C, but the immediate synoptic setup favors values at or slightly below the long-term mean, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover remains limited. Updated model runs and MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will refine wind strength and timing, directly influencing final resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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