Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日郑州气温最高?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 9%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 9%
29°C 4%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate Zhengzhou highs of 31–34°C on August 23, driven by a weakening low-level trough and strengthening subtropical high that reduce cloud cover and precipitation after several days of scattered showers. Recent observations show daytime maxima stabilizing near 32°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and high humidity, while climatological August averages for the region support readings in this range absent stronger cooling influences. These conditions underpin the 75% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, with limited downside risk from model consensus. Updated forecasts and official observations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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