Recent elevated global seismicity, highlighted by a magnitude 7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and multiple magnitude 5+ aftershocks through June 10, is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward >9 earthquakes of 5.5 or greater in the June 15–21 window. USGS monitoring shows this period follows days with above-average counts of magnitude 5+ events, exceeding the long-term weekly baseline of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. Ongoing tectonic strain along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire supports the market-implied odds favoring higher totals, while normal week-to-week variability and potential aftershock decay introduce uncertainty around exact resolution near the 8–9 threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月15日至6月21日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
6月15日至6月21日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
>9 44%
9 14%
8 12%
≤5 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
≤5
11%
6
10%
7
11%
8
12%
9
14%
>9
44%
>9 44%
9 14%
8 12%
≤5 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-21
≤5
$236 交易量
11%
6
$40 交易量
10%
7
$42 交易量
11%
8
$40 交易量
12%
9
$58 交易量
14%
>9
$274 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent elevated global seismicity, highlighted by a magnitude 7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and multiple magnitude 5+ aftershocks through June 10, is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward >9 earthquakes of 5.5 or greater in the June 15–21 window. USGS monitoring shows this period follows days with above-average counts of magnitude 5+ events, exceeding the long-term weekly baseline of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. Ongoing tectonic strain along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire supports the market-implied odds favoring higher totals, while normal week-to-week variability and potential aftershock decay introduce uncertainty around exact resolution near the 8–9 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
交易量
$691结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent elevated global seismicity, highlighted by a magnitude 7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and multiple magnitude 5+ aftershocks through June 10, is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward >9 earthquakes of 5.5 or greater in the June 15–21 window. USGS monitoring shows this period follows days with above-average counts of magnitude 5+ events, exceeding the long-term weekly baseline of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. Ongoing tectonic strain along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire supports the market-implied odds favoring higher totals, while normal week-to-week variability and potential aftershock decay introduce uncertainty around exact resolution near the 8–9 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$691结束日期
2026-06-21市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent elevated global seismicity, highlighted by a magnitude 7.8 event off the Philippines on June 8 and multiple magnitude 5+ aftershocks through June 10, is the main driver pushing trader consensus toward >9 earthquakes of 5.5 or greater in the June 15–21 window. USGS monitoring shows this period follows days with above-average counts of magnitude 5+ events, exceeding the long-term weekly baseline of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. Ongoing tectonic strain along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire supports the market-implied odds favoring higher totals, while normal week-to-week variability and potential aftershock decay introduce uncertainty around exact resolution near the 8–9 threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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