Global seismic activity during June 8–14, 2026, produced well over nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes, aligning with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on the >9 outcome. USGS and monitoring reports document typical background rates of roughly 1–3 events per day at this threshold worldwide, augmented by clusters such as the M6.1 near Cuba on June 8 and additional M5.5+ shocks in tectonically active zones. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ events fall in the 8–15 range, and no unusual quiescence occurred. Only an unprecedented global lull—far below observed variability—could have shifted the count to 9 or fewer, a scenario unsupported by real-time catalogs or recent model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月8日至6月14日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
6月8日至6月14日发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
>9 99.8%
9 <1%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$36,378 交易量
$36,378 交易量
2026-06-15
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
<1%
8
<1%
9
1%
>9
100%
>9 99.8%
9 <1%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$36,378 交易量
$36,378 交易量
2026-06-15
≤3
$3,377 交易量
<1%
4
$2,340 交易量
<1%
5
$3,737 交易量
<1%
6
$4,037 交易量
<1%
7
$4,080 交易量
<1%
8
$4,746 交易量
<1%
9
$3,581 交易量
1%
>9
$10,480 交易量
100%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity during June 8–14, 2026, produced well over nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes, aligning with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on the >9 outcome. USGS and monitoring reports document typical background rates of roughly 1–3 events per day at this threshold worldwide, augmented by clusters such as the M6.1 near Cuba on June 8 and additional M5.5+ shocks in tectonically active zones. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ events fall in the 8–15 range, and no unusual quiescence occurred. Only an unprecedented global lull—far below observed variability—could have shifted the count to 9 or fewer, a scenario unsupported by real-time catalogs or recent model runs.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
交易量
$36,378结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity during June 8–14, 2026, produced well over nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes, aligning with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on the >9 outcome. USGS and monitoring reports document typical background rates of roughly 1–3 events per day at this threshold worldwide, augmented by clusters such as the M6.1 near Cuba on June 8 and additional M5.5+ shocks in tectonically active zones. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ events fall in the 8–15 range, and no unusual quiescence occurred. Only an unprecedented global lull—far below observed variability—could have shifted the count to 9 or fewer, a scenario unsupported by real-time catalogs or recent model runs.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$36,378结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity during June 8–14, 2026, produced well over nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes, aligning with the market’s 99.8% implied probability on the >9 outcome. USGS and monitoring reports document typical background rates of roughly 1–3 events per day at this threshold worldwide, augmented by clusters such as the M6.1 near Cuba on June 8 and additional M5.5+ shocks in tectonically active zones. Historical weekly averages for M5.5+ events fall in the 8–15 range, and no unusual quiescence occurred. Only an unprecedented global lull—far below observed variability—could have shifted the count to 9 or fewer, a scenario unsupported by real-time catalogs or recent model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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