Goldman Sachs leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability for serving as lead bank on SpaceX’s upcoming IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both as active bookrunners in the massive 21-bank syndicate assembled for the “Project Apex” offering alongside JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. Goldman’s edge stems from its established track record handling high-profile technology and aerospace financings plus prior mandates with SpaceX, while Morgan Stanley benefits from long-standing relationships with Elon Musk, including its role on Tesla’s 2010 IPO. The timeline has accelerated with public filing possible as early as this week and pricing targeted for mid-June, sharpening focus on which bank will ultimately hold the lead-left position amid the largest IPO in history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于高盛 68%
摩根士丹利 27%
美国银行 4.3%
摩根大通 <1%
$1,775,444 交易量
$1,775,444 交易量

高盛
68%

摩根士丹利
27%

美国银行
4%

摩根大通
<1%

花旗集团
<1%

瑞银
<1%

巴克莱银行
<1%

德意志银行
<1%

富国银行
<1%
高盛 68%
摩根士丹利 27%
美国银行 4.3%
摩根大通 <1%
$1,775,444 交易量
$1,775,444 交易量

高盛
68%

摩根士丹利
27%

美国银行
4%

摩根大通
<1%

花旗集团
<1%

瑞银
<1%

巴克莱银行
<1%

德意志银行
<1%

富国银行
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Goldman Sachs leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability for serving as lead bank on SpaceX’s upcoming IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 30%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both as active bookrunners in the massive 21-bank syndicate assembled for the “Project Apex” offering alongside JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. Goldman’s edge stems from its established track record handling high-profile technology and aerospace financings plus prior mandates with SpaceX, while Morgan Stanley benefits from long-standing relationships with Elon Musk, including its role on Tesla’s 2010 IPO. The timeline has accelerated with public filing possible as early as this week and pricing targeted for mid-June, sharpening focus on which bank will ultimately hold the lead-left position amid the largest IPO in history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题