Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日釜山气温最低？
9月10日釜山气温最低？
18°C 100.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
$1,342 交易量
$1,342 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
$1,342 交易量
$1,342 交易量
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$70 交易量
否
15°C
$45 交易量
否
16°C
$72 交易量
否
17°C
$72 交易量
否
18°C
$117 交易量
是
19°C
$216 交易量
否
20°C
$402 交易量
否
21°C
$157 交易量
否
22°C
$65 交易量
否
23°C
$50 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$75 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,342结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,342结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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