Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daily minimum around 20–23°C for Busan on September 7, driven by persistent northeasterly winds from a northern high-pressure system that has introduced cooler air masses amid typical early-September transition patterns. This setup, combined with moderate humidity and limited overnight cloud cover, supports the market's elevated implied probability for 18°C or below while capping upside for warmer bins. Model consensus shows modest cooling potential from steering patterns, though historical September lows average near 20°C and small forecast revisions could shift outcomes. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日釜山气温最低?
18°C或以下 100%
28℃或更高 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28℃或更高
59%
18°C或以下 100%
28℃或更高 59%
19°C 49%
24°C 49%
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
49%
20°C
2%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28℃或更高
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daily minimum around 20–23°C for Busan on September 7, driven by persistent northeasterly winds from a northern high-pressure system that has introduced cooler air masses amid typical early-September transition patterns. This setup, combined with moderate humidity and limited overnight cloud cover, supports the market's elevated implied probability for 18°C or below while capping upside for warmer bins. Model consensus shows modest cooling potential from steering patterns, though historical September lows average near 20°C and small forecast revisions could shift outcomes. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalyst for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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