Current forecast models for Busan point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on September 5, shaped by persistent northeasterly winds advecting marine air and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn moderation rather than sharper drops seen in drier historical analogs. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, though small shifts in wind strength or humidity could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日釜山气温最低?
19°C或以下 56%
29°C或更高 55%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
19°C或以下
56%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
2%
28°C
18%
29°C或更高
55%
19°C或以下 56%
29°C或更高 55%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
19°C或以下
56%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
2%
28°C
18%
29°C或更高
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Busan point to overnight lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius on September 5, shaped by persistent northeasterly winds advecting marine air and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn moderation rather than sharper drops seen in drier historical analogs. Recent model runs show limited disagreement, though small shifts in wind strength or humidity could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题