Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town will experience clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Minimum temperatures are projected near 13–15°C, consistent with early spring climatology where average September lows hover around 12°C at official stations. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across 11–14°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the market sensitive to the next model update and local observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于开普敦9月6日最低温度？
开普敦9月6日最低温度？
11°C或以下 78%
21°C或更高 59%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
11°C或以下
78%
12°C
28%
13°C
34%
14°C
31%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C或更高
59%
11°C或以下 78%
21°C或更高 59%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
11°C或以下
$8 交易量
78%
12°C
$0 交易量
28%
13°C
$0 交易量
34%
14°C
$0 交易量
31%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town will experience clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Minimum temperatures are projected near 13–15°C, consistent with early spring climatology where average September lows hover around 12°C at official stations. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across 11–14°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the market sensitive to the next model update and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town will experience clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Minimum temperatures are projected near 13–15°C, consistent with early spring climatology where average September lows hover around 12°C at official stations. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across 11–14°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the market sensitive to the next model update and local observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Cape Town will experience clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds on September 6, supporting overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Minimum temperatures are projected near 13–15°C, consistent with early spring climatology where average September lows hover around 12°C at official stations. Trader sentiment remains closely divided across 11–14°C outcomes because ensemble spreads show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, which can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, leaving the market sensitive to the next model update and local observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题