Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature near 18–20°C in Istanbul on September 7, yet the near-even market split between 14°C or below and 24°C or higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds currently favor stronger temperature drops after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection could limit cooling. Historical early-September minima average around 17°C, placing both tails outside typical ranges and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in dew point and wind speed. Updated ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月7日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
14°C或以下 100%
24°C或更高 98%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
100%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C或更高
98%
14°C或以下 100%
24°C或更高 98%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
15°C
$0 交易量
50%
16°C
$0 交易量
50%
17°C
$0 交易量
50%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature near 18–20°C in Istanbul on September 7, yet the near-even market split between 14°C or below and 24°C or higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds currently favor stronger temperature drops after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection could limit cooling. Historical early-September minima average around 17°C, placing both tails outside typical ranges and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in dew point and wind speed. Updated ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature near 18–20°C in Istanbul on September 7, yet the near-even market split between 14°C or below and 24°C or higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds currently favor stronger temperature drops after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection could limit cooling. Historical early-September minima average around 17°C, placing both tails outside typical ranges and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in dew point and wind speed. Updated ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate a likely minimum temperature near 18–20°C in Istanbul on September 7, yet the near-even market split between 14°C or below and 24°C or higher reflects uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Clear skies and light northeasterly winds currently favor stronger temperature drops after sunset, while any increase in cloud cover or warmer air advection could limit cooling. Historical early-September minima average around 17°C, placing both tails outside typical ranges and highlighting sensitivity to small forecast shifts in dew point and wind speed. Updated ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service runs expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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