Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow over Istanbul, supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 9 amid mostly clear skies and moderate humidity. These conditions favor limited radiative cooling under light winds, consistent with September climatology where average minimums range 17–20°C. The closely matched market probabilities across 16–26°C bins reflect remaining uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by potential minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these estimates for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日伊斯坦布尔最低温度？
9月9日伊斯坦布尔最低温度？
26°C或更高 69%
16°C或以下 59%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
59%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
26%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C或更高
69%
26°C或更高 69%
16°C或以下 59%
19°C 50%
20°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
59%
17°C
$0 交易量
49%
18°C
$0 交易量
49%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow over Istanbul, supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 9 amid mostly clear skies and moderate humidity. These conditions favor limited radiative cooling under light winds, consistent with September climatology where average minimums range 17–20°C. The closely matched market probabilities across 16–26°C bins reflect remaining uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by potential minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these estimates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow over Istanbul, supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 9 amid mostly clear skies and moderate humidity. These conditions favor limited radiative cooling under light winds, consistent with September climatology where average minimums range 17–20°C. The closely matched market probabilities across 16–26°C bins reflect remaining uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by potential minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these estimates for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate stable high pressure and persistent northeasterly flow over Istanbul, supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C on September 9 amid mostly clear skies and moderate humidity. These conditions favor limited radiative cooling under light winds, consistent with September climatology where average minimums range 17–20°C. The closely matched market probabilities across 16–26°C bins reflect remaining uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by potential minor shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture that could alter cooling rates by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these estimates for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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