Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Miami on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 3?
78-79°F 98.6%
76-77°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$31,998 交易量
$31,998 交易量
2026-07-03
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
99%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98.6%
76-77°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$31,998 交易量
$31,998 交易量
2026-07-03
69°F or below
$684 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$676 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$848 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,401 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,854 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$8,660 交易量
99%
80-81°F
$7,388 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$4,083 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$4,377 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$1,717 交易量
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,900 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
交易量
$31,998结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,998结束日期
2026-07-03市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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