Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月22日纽约市最低气温？
7月22日纽约市最低气温？
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
65°F或以下
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 22%
最新
最新
2026-07-22
65°F或以下
$315 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$48 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$281 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$178 交易量
25%
72-73°F
$147 交易量
32%
74-75°F
$2,480 交易量
24%
76-77°F
$131 交易量
22%
78-79°F
$118 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$137 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$261 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$137 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$4,228结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,228结束日期
2026-07-22市场开放时间
Jul 20, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts indicate partly sunny conditions with showers and thunderstorms likely on July 22, supporting a daytime minimum in the upper 60s amid persistent cloud cover and moisture from an approaching frontal system. Cooler air advection behind the boundary, combined with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall, favors temperatures near or below 70°F over typical July climatology. Model consensus points to limited overnight recovery, elevating implied probabilities for the 65°F-or-below bin as traders weigh the timing of clearing skies and any further forecast adjustments ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题