Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 21 around 12–14 °C under building high pressure and light northeasterly flow, favoring clear skies that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Model spreads and sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds create uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting elevated market-implied odds for 9–10 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11 °C, with clear, calm nights occasionally dipping several degrees lower, while current dry conditions and stable anticyclonic setup limit precipitation-driven moderation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日巴黎最低气温？
9月21日巴黎最低气温？
10°C 43%
13°C 40%
14°C 32%
15°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
63%
10°C
36%
11°C
19%
12°C
30%
13°C
40%
14°C
32%
15°C
32%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
2%
10°C 43%
13°C 40%
14°C 32%
15°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
$86 交易量
63%
10°C
$323 交易量
36%
11°C
$296 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
30%
13°C
$20 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
32%
15°C
$0 交易量
32%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 21 around 12–14 °C under building high pressure and light northeasterly flow, favoring clear skies that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Model spreads and sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds create uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting elevated market-implied odds for 9–10 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11 °C, with clear, calm nights occasionally dipping several degrees lower, while current dry conditions and stable anticyclonic setup limit precipitation-driven moderation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$724结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 21 around 12–14 °C under building high pressure and light northeasterly flow, favoring clear skies that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Model spreads and sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds create uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting elevated market-implied odds for 9–10 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11 °C, with clear, calm nights occasionally dipping several degrees lower, while current dry conditions and stable anticyclonic setup limit precipitation-driven moderation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$724结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF guidance indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 21 around 12–14 °C under building high pressure and light northeasterly flow, favoring clear skies that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Model spreads and sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind speeds create uncertainty around the precise minimum, supporting elevated market-implied odds for 9–10 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 11 °C, with clear, calm nights occasionally dipping several degrees lower, while current dry conditions and stable anticyclonic setup limit precipitation-driven moderation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the temperature trajectory ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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