Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and stable high pressure near 30.07 inches, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C for the date, driven by a mild air mass with low precipitation chances near zero percent. Model consensus shows minimal variability across runs, with afternoon peaks expected around 74–77°F before cooling overnight, though minor adjustments in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through mid-September reinforces this stable setup ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日巴黎最高气温？
9月19日巴黎最高气温？
25°C 46%
24°C 34%
26°C 14%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
34%
25°C
46%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
<1%
25°C 46%
24°C 34%
26°C 14%
23°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
21°C或以下
$28 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$39 交易量
6%
24°C
$573 交易量
34%
25°C
$103 交易量
46%
26°C
$574 交易量
14%
27°C
$22 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
2%
31°C或以上
$237 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and stable high pressure near 30.07 inches, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C for the date, driven by a mild air mass with low precipitation chances near zero percent. Model consensus shows minimal variability across runs, with afternoon peaks expected around 74–77°F before cooling overnight, though minor adjustments in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through mid-September reinforces this stable setup ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,582结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and stable high pressure near 30.07 inches, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C for the date, driven by a mild air mass with low precipitation chances near zero percent. Model consensus shows minimal variability across runs, with afternoon peaks expected around 74–77°F before cooling overnight, though minor adjustments in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through mid-September reinforces this stable setup ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,582结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS data indicate a high of 24–25°C in Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and stable high pressure near 30.07 inches, supporting the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This range sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21.1°C for the date, driven by a mild air mass with low precipitation chances near zero percent. Model consensus shows minimal variability across runs, with afternoon peaks expected around 74–77°F before cooling overnight, though minor adjustments in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through mid-September reinforces this stable setup ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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