**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日郑州最低气温？
8月23日郑州最低气温？
15°C or below 85%
22°C 36%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
85%
16°C
35%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C
36%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C or higher
52%
15°C or below 85%
22°C 36%
16°C 35%
17°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
$20 交易量
85%
16°C
$20 交易量
35%
17°C
$20 交易量
35%
18°C
$20 交易量
35%
19°C
$20 交易量
35%
20°C
$20 交易量
35%
21°C
$20 交易量
35%
22°C
$25 交易量
36%
23°C
$29 交易量
19%
24°C
$0 交易量
20%
25°C or higher
$40 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$230结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$230结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus on the Zhengzhou minimum temperature for August 23 remains closely split, with 25°C or higher at 52% implied probability versus 15°C or below at 43%, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling.** Persistent influence from the subtropical high is expected to maintain humid conditions and limit temperature drops, consistent with China Meteorological Administration guidance showing typical lows near 25°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. However, variable cloud cover, localized precipitation, and potential weak frontal passages could enhance surface cooling through reduced downward longwave radiation or evaporative effects, pushing the minimum lower. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, key variables that determine whether the overnight low stays above or falls well below the 25°C threshold. Updated CMA and global forecast model outputs ahead of the 24-hour period will be the next key inputs for resolving this range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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